TAR vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 4, 2020 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kim NilssonT W 2 2 2 17
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek2 3 1 1 07+2
- 11Ernest Koza1 01
- 12Artur Mroczka0 3 2 1 39+1
- 13Peter Ljung2 1 1 2 06
- 14Przemysław Konieczny1 U 01
- 15Mateusz Cierniak0 3 3 U W6
- 1Krystian Pieszczek2 W2+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen3 2 3 3 314
- 3Jacob Thorssell3 2 3 0 19+1
- 4Kacper Gomolski3 1 2 3 211+3
- 5Peter Kildemand1 T 3 3 29
- 6Karol Żupiński0 1 2 14
- 7Alan Szczotka2 1 14
- 8Robert Chmiel0 00
Heat by heat
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TARU
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1*
- Robert Chmiel · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TARU
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Robert Chmiel · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1*
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Peter Kildemand · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Peter Ljung · TAR0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | GDA | TAR | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 2 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Robert Chmiel | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 10.7 | 7 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.