GNI vs TOR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, October 12, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Adrian Gała1 3 0 W4
- 10Frederik Jakobsen3 2 1 0 39+1
- 11Oskar Fajfer0 2 3 3 311
- 12Kevin Fajfer2 0 2 1 W5+2
- 13Oliver Berntzon3 2 1 1 07+1
- 14Damian Stalkowski3 1 26
- 15Marcel Studziński2 W 24+2
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 2 2 114+3
- 2Adrian MiedzińskiW 1 3 3 W7
- 4Chris Holder2 1 0 3 3 211
- 5Viktor Kulakov2 T 1 1 2 28+2
- 6Kamil Marciniec0 0 00
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński1 1 0 1 14
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI3
- Marcel Studziński · GNI2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2*
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Adrian Gała · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Marcel Studziński · GNI2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 8 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GNI | TOR | GNI | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 9.1 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 5 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 5 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.7 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.