BYD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 11, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Grzegorz Zengota3 2 3 311+1
- 10Dimitri Berge3 3 2 1 110+2
- 11Kai Huckenbeck2 2 2 3 312+2
- 13David Bellego0 3 3 28
- 14Nikodem Bartoch1 1 02
- 15Tomasz Orwat3 0 1 W4
- 16Andreas Lyager2 3 1 2 311+2
- 1Grzegorz Walasek1 2 0 D3
- 2Tomasz Gapiński3 1 1 27+1
- 3Kacper Grzelak0 0 0 22
- 4Adrian Cyfer2 1 1 15+1
- 5Nicolai Klindt1 D 2 3 3 211
- 6Sebastian Szostak0 0 0 00
- 7Jakub Krawczyk2 1 0 U3
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · BYD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OSTD
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · BYD2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Dimitri Berge · BYD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Kacper Grzelak · OST2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYDW
- Jakub Krawczyk · OSTU
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Dimitri Berge · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 4 | +3 | −3 | |
| BYD | OST | BYD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +25 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 6.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 4 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 13.8 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.