OST vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, October 3, 2020 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Grzegorz Walasek2 1 D3+1
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 2 1 28
- 11Adrian Cyfer1 0 12+1
- 12Jonas Jeppesen2 3 3 2 212
- 13Nicolai Klindt0 3 2 1 1 18+2
- 14Jakub Krawczyk0 D 0 22
- 15Sebastian Szostak1 0 0 D1
- 16Kacper Grzelak00
- 1Adrian Gała3 1 3 0 310+1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen1 2 2 3 210+2
- 3Kevin Fajfer0 1 1 02+1
- 4Oskar Fajfer2 2 3 310
- 5Oliver Berntzon3 3 2 311
- 6Marcel Studziński3 1 04
- 7Damian Stalkowski2 0 1 36+1
- 8Mikołaj Czapla11
Heat by heat
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Marcel Studziński · GNI3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OSTD
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Adrian Gała · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Sebastian Szostak · OSTD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 20 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h SE
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| OST | GNI | OST | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 4 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 1 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 12.8 | 8 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.