GDA vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 27, 2020 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Jacob Thorssell2 2 T 15+1
- 10Peter Kildemand2 W 2 3 18+2
- 11Krystian Pieszczek1 2 2 2 310+2
- 12Kacper Gomolski0 3 0 2 16
- 13Rasmus Jensen3 3 3 1 212
- 14Karol Żupiński3 3 1 W7
- 15Piotr Gryszpiński2 02+1
- 16Alan Szczotka00
- 1Pontus Aspgren3 2 2 3 010
- 2Ricards Ansviesulis1 1 02+1
- 3Andrey Kudryashov0 11
- 4Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 W 0 23
- 5Vadim Tarasenko1 3 3 3 212+1
- 6Francis Gusts1 0 1 1 03
- 7Ernests MatjusonoksW0
- 8Olegs Mihailovs2 T 3 0 38
Heat by heat
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Peter Kildemand · GDA2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Francis Gusts · DAU0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Ricards Ansviesulis · DAU1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU3
- Peter Kildemand · GDA2
- Ricards Ansviesulis · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Ricards Ansviesulis · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1*
- Francis Gusts · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GDA | DAU | GDA | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +11 | 99 % |
| 8 | +13 | 100 % |
| 9 | +11 | 99 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +9 | 97 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +11 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 3.6 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 2 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 3 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Ricards Ansviesulis | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Ernests Matjusonoks | 1 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.