LOD vs TOR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 19, 2020 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch3 3 1 1 08+1
- 10Rohan Tungate3 2 3 1 110+2
- 11Daniel Jeleniewski2 3 3 2 010+1
- 12Marcin Nowak2 0 1 25
- 13Oleksandr LoktayevW 1 3 2 39
- 14Aleksander Grygolec1 1 02+1
- 15Piotr Pióro2 0 13+1
- 1Adrian Miedziński0 2 02+1
- 2Jack Holder3 3 2 2 3 316
- 3Chris Holder1 2 2 0 0 27
- 4Viktor Kulakov2 1 1 3 3 212+3
- 5Tobiasz Musielak1 1 13+1
- 6Kamil Marciniec0 00
- 7Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 0 0 03
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LOD | TOR | LOD | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 14.1 | 16 | +1.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.3 | 7 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.