GNI vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, September 17, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Adrian Gała3 2 1 2 311+3
- 10Frederik Jakobsen3 3 2 2 010+1
- 11Oskar Fajfer2 3 2 310+1
- 12Oliver Berntzon2 1 1 37+1
- 13Timo Lahti1 3 3 3 111+1
- 14Marcel Studziński3 1 04
- 15Damian Stalkowski1 2 14+1
- 16Kevin Fajfer00
- 1Krystian Pieszczek1 1 3 1 28+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen3 0 0 2 27
- 3Jacob Thorssell0 2 2 0 15+1
- 4Kacper Gomolski2 0 1 03+1
- 5Peter Kildemand0 1 3 1 38
- 6Karol Żupiński0 00
- 7Alan Szczotka2 02
- 8Piotr Gryszpiński0 00
Heat by heat
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Marcel Studziński · GNI3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1*
- Peter Kildemand · GDA0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2*
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GNI | GDA | GNI | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Alan Szczotka | 2 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Karol Żupiński | 2 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.