DAU vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 19, 2020 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Vadim Tarasenko3 3 2 1 09
- 10Linus Sundstroem1 1 0 W 24+1
- 11Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 2 3 1 29+1
- 12Kasts PuodzuksW D0
- 13Andrey Kudryashov2 0 13
- 14Francis Gusts2 2 0 2 06+2
- 15Olegs Mihailovs3 3 3 2 112+1
- 1Grzegorz Walasek2 2 1 3 311
- 2Tomasz Gapiński1 1 3 2 3 111+2
- 3Jonas Jeppesen0 3 1 2 06+1
- 4Adrian Cyfer3 1 04
- 5Nicolai Klindt3 2 2 3 313
- 6Sebastian Szostak1 0 12
- 7Jakub Krawczyk0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1
- Francis Gusts · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAUD
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Francis Gusts · DAU0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Linus Sundstroem · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 17 km/h NW
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| DAU | OST | DAU | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 7.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 9.6 | 6 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.