BYD vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 20, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck0 3 3 3 312
- 10Kamil Brzozowski22
- 11David Bellego1 3 3 3 010
- 12Troy Batchelor1 0 12
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 2 0 0 27+1
- 14Nikodem Bartoch0 0 22
- 15Tomasz Orwat2 1 14+1
- 16Andreas Lyager1 2 2 2 310+2
- 1Kim Nilsson3 3 1 1 19+1
- 2Daniel Kaczmarek0 00
- 3Artur Mroczka2 2 1 1 06+1
- 4Ernest Koza1 1 3 0 16+1
- 5Peter Ljung2 2 2 3 211
- 6Przemysław Konieczny3 3 06
- 7Mateusz Cierniak1 0 23
- 8Michał Gruchalski0 00
Heat by heat
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Troy Batchelor · BYD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Troy Batchelor · BYD0
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Troy Batchelor · BYD1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BYD | TAR | BYD | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 1 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 10.1 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.