TAR vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, September 10, 2020 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Kim Nilsson2 2 1 16+1
- 10Michał Gruchalski2 13+1
- 11Ernest KozaW 0 1 12
- 12Artur Mroczka1 2 1 2 06+1
- 13Peter LjungU 1 2 2 W D5+1
- 14Przemysław Konieczny2 T 02+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 2 2 3 3 114
- 1Kevin Fajfer1 0 0 U1
- 2Frederik Jakobsen3 3 3 2 213
- 3Timo Lahti3 1 1 2 18+1
- 4Oliver Berntzon3 3 3 3 214+1
- 5Oskar Fajfer2 3 3 3 314+1
- 6Damian Stalkowski1 1 02
- 7Mikołaj CzaplaU 00
- 8Marcel Studziński00
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR2*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNIU
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Peter Ljung · TARU
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Kim Nilsson · TAR1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNIU
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI2
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Peter Ljung · TARD
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 7 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TAR | GNI | TAR | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 6 | 7.6 | 14 | +6.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.4 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 2 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Marcel Studziński | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.