OST vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 12, 2020 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Grzegorz Walasek3 1 0 3 07
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 3 1 2 09+1
- 11Adrian Cyfer0 2 2 2 39
- 12Rafał Okoniewski1 01+1
- 13Nicolai Klindt3 3 3 3 315
- 14Kacper Grzelak0 0 00
- 15Sebastian Szostak2 0 02
- 16Jonas Jeppesen1 01
- 1Norbert Kościuch1 1 2 1 16+5
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev2 2 3 3 212
- 3Rohan Tungate2 1 2 05
- 4Daniel Jeleniewski2 3 1 2 19+2
- 5Marcin Nowak0 2 3 1 28
- 6Aleksander Grygolec1 1 02+1
- 7Piotr Pióro3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Piotr Pióro · LOD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Jonas Jeppesen · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | LOD | OST | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 10.2 | 15 | +4.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 2 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.