TOR vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 11, 2020 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Viktor Kulakov0 2 3 3 210+1
- 10Jack Holder2 3 2 1 311+1
- 11Tobiasz Musielak2 1 1 D4+2
- 12Adrian Miedziński2 2 2 2 19+3
- 13Chris Holder3 3 3 3 113
- 14Kamil Marciniec2 0 02+1
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 2 16+1
- 1Timo Lahti3 0 1 15
- 2Adrian Gała1 1 35
- 3Oskar Fajfer1 0 2 2 05
- 4Oliver Berntzon3 3 1 3 0 212+1
- 5Jurica Pavlic0 1 01
- 6Damian Stalkowski0 1 0 23+1
- 7Marcel Studziński1 D1
- 8Frederik Jakobsen0 3 03
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR2*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Timo Lahti · GNI0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNID
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1*
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · TORD
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 14 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | GNI | TOR | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Marcel Studziński | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.