OST vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 12, 2020 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Grzegorz Walasek3 2 3 3 314+1
- 10Tomasz Gapiński3 3 0 1 29+2
- 11Adrian Cyfer0 3 2 2 310+1
- 12Rafał Okoniewski2 1 3 06
- 13Nicolai Klindt1 1 3 2 29+2
- 14Kacper Grzelak1 1 02
- 15Sebastian Szostak3 0 03
- 1David Bellego2 2 2 1 1 08+3
- 2Dimitri Berge0 3 2 3 19
- 3Kai Huckenbeck1 2 03+1
- 4Dawid Lampart2 0 2 15
- 5Kamil Brzozowski3 1 1 3 W8
- 6Nikodem Bartoch0 00
- 7Tomasz Orwat2 0 0 13
- 8Andreas Lyager11+1
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Dimitri Berge · BYD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1
- Dawid Lampart · BYD0
- Dimitri Berge · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Dimitri Berge · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2*
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Dawid Lampart · BYD2
- David Bellego · BYD1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Dimitri Berge · BYD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Dimitri Berge · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| OST | BYD | OST | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.0 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 5 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Andreas Lyager | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| David Bellego | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 2 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.