GDA vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 11, 2020 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Peter Kildemand1 3 3 2 110+1
- 10Jacob Thorssell1 0 2 14+1
- 11Rasmus Jensen0 3 3 1 18
- 12Kacper Gomolski1 0 12
- 13Krystian Pieszczek3 2 3 W 311
- 14Karol Żupiński1 3 2 3 09+1
- 15Alan Szczotka0 0 W0
- 1Kim Nilsson3 3 0 0 06
- 2Daniel KaczmarekW 1 12
- 3Artur Mroczka2 1 1 26+3
- 4Ernest Koza2 2 0 15
- 5Peter Ljung2 2 2 2 2 212+2
- 6Dawid Rempała2 0 02+1
- 7Mateusz Cierniak3 1 3 3 313+1
Heat by heat
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Kim Nilsson · TAR3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Alan Szczotka · GDA0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1*
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Peter Kildemand · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Kim Nilsson · TAR0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Peter Kildemand · GDA2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Kim Nilsson · TAR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Peter Kildemand · GDA1
- Kim Nilsson · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 28 km/h W
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | TAR | GDA | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 5.5 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Karol Żupiński | 5 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 13.1 | 12 | -1.1 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 4 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.