DAU vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 9, 2019 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Timo Lahti2 3 2 18
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 1 0 23+1
- 11Kasts Puodzuks3 0 2 27+1
- 12Vadim Tarasenko2 3 3 210+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 3 311
- 14Artjoms Trofimovs1 0 12
- 15Olegs Mihailovs3 W M3
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 1 1 38+1
- 2Rory Schlein1 2 2 D5
- 3Rafał Okoniewski1 3 3 1 311
- 4Kai HuckenbeckD 1 12
- 5Daniel Jeleniewski2 2 1 D5
- 6Piotr Pióro2 W D2
- 7Dawid WawrzyniakW 1 D1
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Rory Schlein · LOD1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · LODW
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LODD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · LOD1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Rory Schlein · LOD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Rory Schlein · LOD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAUM
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · LODD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Rory Schlein · LODD
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Piotr Pióro · LODD
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LODD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAU | LOD | DAU | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Rory Schlein | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 3 | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.