GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 1, 2019 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Mikkel Bech Laursen2 13
- 10Kim Nilsson1 34+1
- 11Krystian Pieszczek2 13+1
- 12Kacper Gomolski3 36
- 13Jacob Thorssell3 2 38
- 14Karol Żupiński3 D3
- 15Denis Zieliński2 1 14+1
- 1Kamil Marciniec0 00
- 2Kai Huckenbeck3 2 W5
- 3Rafał Okoniewski1 3 26
- 4Rohan TungateD 11
- 5Daniel Jeleniewski2 24
- 6Piotr Pióro1 0 01
- 7Dawid WawrzyniakD0
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Kim Nilsson · GDA1*
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Denis Zieliński · GDA2*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Dawid Wawrzyniak · LODD
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LODD
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Denis Zieliński · GDA1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Karol Żupiński · GDAD
- Kim Nilsson · GDA3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2
- Denis Zieliński · GDA1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Gomolski | 2 | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 3 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Karol Żupiński | 2 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 2 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 2 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 3 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 2 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Dawid Wawrzyniak | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 2 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.