OST vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 3 2 112+1
- 10Sam Masters0 1 1 24+1
- 11Tomasz Gapiński0 1 2 2 W5+1
- 12Nicolai Klindt2 3 3 3 D11
- 13Grzegorz WalasekD 3 3 3 312
- 14Kamil NowackiW 0 00
- 15Marcin Kościelski1 2 03
- 1Troy Batchelor1 0 2 3 28+1
- 2Sergei Logachev2 2 1 1 28+2
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 2 0 17+1
- 4Linus Sundstroem1 2 0 03
- 5Kacper Woryna3 2 1 1 310
- 6Robert Chmiel3 0 14
- 7Mateusz Tudzież2 W 02+1
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1*
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Robert Chmiel · RYB3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OSTD
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYBW
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Troy Batchelor · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Sam Masters · OST2*
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OSTD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 21 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h W
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 15 | −7 | +7 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| OST | RYB | OST | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -7 | 23 % |
| 5 | -5 | 34 % |
| 6 | -5 | 33 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -3 | 48 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | +3 | 84 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +5 | 92 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.5 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.