LOD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2019 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak3 1 3 1 08
- 10Rohan Tungate2 3 2 1 210+4
- 11Rafał Okoniewski1 3 2 3 110+2
- 12Kai Huckenbeck2 1 3 06
- 13Daniel Jeleniewski1 3 1 2 310
- 14Piotr Pióro2 0 13
- 15Kamil Marciniec0 0 00
- 1Krystian PieszczekW W 2 0 2 15+1
- 2Jacob Thorssell1 2 3 3 3 214+1
- 3Kacper Gomolski3 1 0 D4+1
- 4Adrian Cyfer0 2 13
- 5Mikkel Bech Laursen3 2 1 2 311+1
- 6Denis Zieliński3 03
- 7Karol Żupiński1 2 0 03+1
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDAD
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | GDA | LOD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Denis Zieliński | 2 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 6 | 9.6 | 5 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.