LOD vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 12, 2019 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Hans Andersen3 1 0 15+2
- 10Rohan Tungate2 2 3 3 313+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski1 0 2 3 28+2
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski3 3 3 2 213+1
- 13Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 1 313
- 14Kamil Marciniec0 1 01
- 15Piotr Pióro2 1 14
- 1Kasts Puodzuks0 1 0 1 13+2
- 3Vadim Tarasenko1 2 2 2 2 09
- 4Davis Kurmis0 0 1 01+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 3 1 311
- 6Olegs Mihailovs3 0 2 0 2 18
- 7Artjoms Trofimovs1 0 0 01
Heat by heat
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD1
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Davis Kurmis · DAU1*
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1*
- Davis Kurmis · DAU0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 10 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 4.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LOD | DAU | LOD | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Davis Kurmis | 4 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 4 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.