TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 18, 2019 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Peter Ljung3 2 3 3 112
- 10Ernest Koza0 1 2 25+2
- 11Artur Czaja1 0 3 3 29
- 12Daniel Kaczmarek0 3 1 1 T5
- 13Viktor Kulakov3 3 3 1 313+1
- 14Dawid Rempała0 0 00
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 1 0 15
- 1Rohan Tungate2 1 2 2 29+1
- 2Kai Huckenbeck1 2 1 3 U7+2
- 3Rafał Okoniewski2 1 T 03+2
- 4Daniel Jeleniewski3 2 1 06
- 5Tobiasz Musielak2 3 2 2 3 012
- 6Piotr Pióro2 0 0 13+1
- 7Kamil Marciniec1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2*
- Artur Czaja · TAR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LODU
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Artur Czaja | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Piotr Pióro | 4 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.