GDA vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 5, 2019 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krystian Pieszczek3 1 2 2 311+1
- 10Jacob Thorssell1 3 3 1 210+2
- 11Adrian Cyfer0 3 2 2 18+1
- 12Mikkel Bech Laursen2 2 3 1 311+2
- 13Kacper GomolskiT 0 U 22
- 14Karol Żupiński3 3 1 18+1
- 15Denis Zieliński1 0 12
- 1Tomasz Gapiński2 1 3 3 110
- 2Renat Gafurov0 0 22+1
- 3Nicolai Klindt3 2 0 3 W 08+1
- 4Sam Masters1 3 1 0 3 210
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 2 W 04
- 6Kamil Nowacki2 0 02
- 7Marcin Kościelski0 1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1
- Renat Gafurov · OST0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Kamil Nowacki · OST2
- Denis Zieliński · GDA1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Renat Gafurov · OST0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Renat Gafurov · OST2*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDAU
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA2*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA2
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA1
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 9 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GDA | OST | GDA | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Renat Gafurov | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.