OST vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 28, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev2 2 26
- 10Renat Gafurov0 1 1 1 03+3
- 11Tomasz Gapiński2 3 2 3 212+2
- 12Nicolai Klindt3 2 1 2 311+2
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 3 3 2 314
- 14Kamil Nowacki2 1 0 03
- 15Marcin KościelskiW 1 01
- 1Timo Lahti3 1 1 2 1 210+1
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 0 01
- 3Vadim Tarasenko0 2 3 3 1 09+1
- 4Kasts Puodzuks1 0 01
- 5Andzejs LebedevsW 3 2 3 3 112
- 6Artjoms Trofimovs3 0 14+1
- 7Olegs Mihailovs1 2 03
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Renat Gafurov · OST0
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU3
- Kamil Nowacki · OST2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Renat Gafurov · OST1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Renat Gafurov · OST1*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Renat Gafurov · OST1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Renat Gafurov · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Rain
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 91 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| OST | DAU | OST | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.0 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.8 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Renat Gafurov | 5 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.