LOD vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 19, 2019 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate1 2 0 W3+2
- 10Kai Huckenbeck2 3 2 3 0 111
- 11Rory Schlein1 2 2 16+1
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski3 3 1 2 3 315+1
- 13Tobiasz Musielak2 1 1 W4
- 14Kamil Marciniec0 0 00
- 15Piotr Pióro1 1 02
- 1Mirosław Jabłoński3 0 3 3 09
- 2Jurica Pavlic0 1 2 25+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 3 3 1 211
- 4Oskar Fajfer0 2 1 3 17+1
- 5Adrian Gała3 1 3 1 210
- 6Kevin Fajfer3 0 25+1
- 7Damian Stalkowski2 W 02+1
Heat by heat
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Rory Schlein · LOD1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Rory Schlein · LOD2*
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Rory Schlein · LOD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Rory Schlein · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.7 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LOD | GNI | LOD | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 6 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Rory Schlein | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.5 | 3 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.