TAR vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 13, 2019 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Peter Ljung3 2 2 1 210
- 10Przemysław Konieczny00
- 11Daniel Kaczmarek1 0 3 3 18+1
- 12Artur Czaja0 3 1 2 3 312+2
- 13Viktor Kulakov2 3 1 2 08+1
- 14Dawid RempałaU 00
- 15Mateusz CierniakW 2 3 0 0 05
- 1Oleksandr Loktayev2 1 3 2 19+2
- 2Renat Gafurov1 2 2 16+1
- 3Tomasz Gapiński3 2 0 3 210
- 4Nicolai Klindt2 1 3 0 06+2
- 5Grzegorz Walasek1 3 1 2 310
- 6Kamil Nowacki3 1 15+1
- 7Marcin Kościelski1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Renat Gafurov · OST1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST3
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Dawid Rempała · TARU
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Artur Czaja · TAR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Renat Gafurov · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Renat Gafurov · OST2*
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Artur Czaja · TAR2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2
- Renat Gafurov · OST1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Peter Ljung · TAR1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Artur Czaja · TAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 9 → 7 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TAR | OST | TAR | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Czaja | 6 | 6.1 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Renat Gafurov | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 6 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Dawid Rempała | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.