DAU vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 14, 2019 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Timo Lahti2 W 2 1 38+2
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 2 3 1 07+1
- 11Vadim Tarasenko2 0 W 13
- 12Kasts Puodzuks0 2 3 2 07
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 3 315
- 14Artjoms Trofimovs2 0 35+1
- 15Olegs Mihailovs3 2 16+1
- 1Krystian Pieszczek3 3 W 2 2 212
- 2Bradley Wilson-Dean0 1 2 14+1
- 3Adrian Cyfer1 1 02+1
- 4Mikkel Bech Laursen3 2 1 3 2 112+1
- 5Kacper GomolskiW 3 2 0 05
- 6Denis Zieliński0 11
- 7Karol Żupiński1 1 W 02
Heat by heat
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Bradley Wilson-Dean · GDA0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Bradley Wilson-Dean · GDA1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Denis Zieliński · GDA1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Bradley Wilson-Dean · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDAW
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA0
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1*
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Bradley Wilson-Dean · GDA1*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 19 km/h NE
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 5 | +7 | −7 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAU | GDA | DAU | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +11 | 100 % |
| 12 | +13 | 100 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +13 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 11.0 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 5 | 3.1 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 6 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 6 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Bradley Wilson-Dean | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Denis Zieliński | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 11.5 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.