OST vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 7, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 1 3 211
- 10Renat Gafurov0 2 2 04+1
- 11Tomasz Gapiński2 2 3 3 111+3
- 12Nicolai Klindt3 3 2 2 111+3
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 2 3 2 212
- 14Kamil Nowacki3 1 04+1
- 15Marcin Kościelski2 1 03+1
- 1Oskar Fajfer1 0 2 1 04+1
- 2Andrey Kudryashov3 1 1 1 06+1
- 3Oliver Berntzon1 3 3 3 3 316
- 4Frederik Jakobsen0 0 W 00
- 5Mirosław Jabłoński2 1 1 15
- 6Kevin FajferW 00
- 7Damian Stalkowski1 0 0 23
Heat by heat
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Renat Gafurov · OST0
- Kamil Nowacki · OST3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Renat Gafurov · OST2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI1*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Renat Gafurov · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI1
- Renat Gafurov · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 18 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | GNI | OST | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 12.1 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Renat Gafurov | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.8 | 4 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.