OST vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 8, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt3 3 3 1 111+1
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 1 03+1
- 11Tomasz Gapiński1 3 3 2 211
- 12Sam Masters0 2 1 2 16+2
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 2 1 3 211
- 14Kamil Nowacki2 1 03+1
- 15Marcin KościelskiD 1 01
- 1Troy Batchelor1 1 3 3 311+1
- 2Dan Bewley2 0 2 1 05+2
- 3Sergei Logachev2 3 2 2 U9+1
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak3 0 W 03
- 5Kacper Woryna2 1 2 3 311
- 6Robert Chmiel3 0 14
- 7Mateusz Tudzież1 U 01
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Dan Bewley · RYB2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Robert Chmiel · RYB3
- Kamil Nowacki · OST2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Marcin Kościelski · OSTD
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYBU
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Sam Masters · OST2*
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Dan Bewley · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Dan Bewley · RYB2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Dan Bewley · RYB1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1*
- Dan Bewley · RYB0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Sergei Logachev · RYBU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 17 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| OST | RYB | OST | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.