OST vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 25, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt1 2 W 3 28+1
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 2 05
- 11Tomasz GapińskiU 3 2 3 210+2
- 12Sam Masters3 1 3 1 311
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 2 2 1 08
- 14Kamil Nowacki3 0 14
- 15Marcin Kościelski2 2 04+2
- 1Oskar Fajfer3 2 3 2 1 112
- 2Jurica Pavlic2 0 1 2 0 38+2
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 3 3 3 2 013
- 4Mirosław Jabłoński1 1 13
- 5Adrian Gała1 1 13
- 6Mateusz Błażykowski0 0 00
- 7Kevin Fajfer1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Kamil Nowacki · OST3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · GNI0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OSTU
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · GNI0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 29 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| OST | GNI | OST | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Masters | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 12.8 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 6 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.