GNI vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 18, 2019 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Oskar Fajfer1 3 0 3 18
- 10Jurica Pavlic3 1 2 3 211
- 11Mirosław Jabłoński2 1 D 36+1
- 12Oliver Berntzon1 2 3 1 310+1
- 13Adrian Gała3 3 3 1 D10
- 14Damian Stalkowski1 0 W1+1
- 15Kevin Fajfer2 1 03
- 1Nicolai Klindt2 0 2 2 28
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 1 04+1
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 2 1 2 05
- 4Sam Masters3 1 3 2 312+1
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 2 2 0 17
- 6Kamil Nowacki0 00
- 7Marcin Kościelski3 0 W 14
Heat by heat
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Marcin Kościelski · OST3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNID
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Adrian Gała · GNID
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 29 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 21 km/h SW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GNI | OST | GNI | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +11 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Masters | 5 | 5.9 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.8 | 5 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.