OST vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 4, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 3 314
- 10Oleksandr Loktayev1 1 2 04+2
- 11Tomasz Gapiński2 3 3 3 213+1
- 12Sam Masters1 2 1 0 15+3
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 2 2 2 210
- 14Kamil NowackiD 0 00
- 15Marcin Kościelski3 1 15+2
- 1Rohan Tungate2 0 3 1 1 07+1
- 2Hans Andersen0 1 01
- 3Rafał Okoniewski0 1 01
- 4Daniel Jeleniewski3 3 1 1 3 112+1
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 3 2 013
- 6Piotr Pióro2 0 24
- 7Kamil Marciniec1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Marcin Kościelski · OST3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD1
- Kamil Nowacki · OSTD
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1*
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Sam Masters · OST2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1*
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1*
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 18 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| OST | LOD | OST | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.1 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 6 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 10.8 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Hans Andersen | 3 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 3 | 5.5 | 1 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.