GDA vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 3, 2019 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Jacob Thorssell3 3 0 3 211
- 10Mikkel Bech Laursen2 2 2 3 110+3
- 11Adrian Cyfer1 0 2 25
- 12Kacper Gomolski0 2 1 1 15+2
- 13Krystian Pieszczek2 3 3 1 211+1
- 14Denis Zieliński0 0 00
- 15Karol Żupiński3 3 06
- 1Oskar Fajfer1 3 2 3 3 315
- 2Andrey Kudryashov0 1 1 24+1
- 3Jurica Pavlic3 2 3 0 0 08
- 4Mirosław Jabłoński2 1 1 26+2
- 5Adrian Gała1 1 3 05
- 6Kevin Fajfer2 0 13
- 7Damian Stalkowski1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2*
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI1
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Andrey Kudryashov · GNI2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Adrian Cyfer · GDA2
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1*
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h NE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GDA | GNI | GDA | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 6 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.