DAU vs TAR

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 4, 2019 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils

Results

DAU 48 : 42 TAR

DAU

9Timo Lahti3 3 3 211
10Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 1 1 1 03+1
11Kasts Puodzuks3 2 2 2 110
12Vadim Tarasenko0 D 1 01+1
13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 211
14Olegs Mihailovs2 2 1 27+2
15Davis Kurmis1 1 2 15+3

TAR

1Viktor Kulakov1 3 3 310+1
2Ernest Koza2 1 W 36
3Artur Mroczka2 W 0 0 24+1
4Daniel Kaczmarek1 2 1 37+1
5Artur Czaja2 2 3 310
6Mateusz Cierniak3 0 14
7Przemysław Konieczny0 0 1 0 0 01

Heat by heat

Heat 169.44 s3:3

Timo Lahti · DAU3
Ernest Koza · TAR2
Viktor Kulakov · TAR1*
Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0

Heat 269.55 s3:3

Heat 369.06 s3:3

Heat 468.50 s4:2

Heat 568.30 s2:4

Heat 667.90 s5:1

Heat 768.15 s4:2

Heat 867.75 s5:1

Heat 968.63 s4:2

Heat 1070.01 s3:3

Heat 1169.01 s3:3

Heat 1268.73 s3:3

Heat 1369.52 s2:4

Artur Czaja · TAR3
Timo Lahti · DAU2
Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
Vadim Tarasenko · DAU0

Heat 1469.12 s1:5

Heat 1568.80 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 17 → 14 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 10 km/h NW; gusts up to 25 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 63 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	DAU	TAR	DAU	TAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead DAU

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	0	64 %
4	+2	73 %
5	0	64 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+10	98 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+12	100 %
12	+12	100 %
13	+10	100 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Artur Czaja	4	6.1	10	+3.9
Kasts Puodzuks	5	6.4	10	+3.6
Timo Lahti	4	7.8	11	+3.2
Daniel Kaczmarek	4	5.3	7	+1.7
Davis Kurmis	4	3.3	5	+1.7
Olegs Mihailovs	4	5.3	7	+1.7
Ernest Koza	4	4.5	6	+1.5
Andzejs Lebedevs	4	10.0	11	+1.0
Viktor Kulakov	4	9.8	10	+0.2
Mateusz Cierniak	3	4.2	4	-0.2
Jevgenijs Kostigovs	5	4.9	3	-1.9
Artur Mroczka	5	8.8	4	-4.8
Przemysław Konieczny	6	6.7	1	-5.7
Vadim Tarasenko	4	7.0	1	-6.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.0167.75 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 40.0:32.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.93 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source