LOD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 28, 2019 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate2 3 3 3 011
- 10Kai Huckenbeck0 0 2 02+1
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 2 1 2 19+1
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski0 3 3 2 W8+1
- 13Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 2 111
- 14Piotr Pióro1 0 01
- 15Aleksander GrygolecW 0 00
- 1Troy Batchelor1 1 3 3 311
- 2Dan Bewley3 0 1 15
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak1 2 W 3 39+1
- 4Linus Sundstroem2 1 1 0 26+2
- 5Kacper Woryna2 2 2 1 29+1
- 6Robert Chmiel2 1 14+2
- 7Mateusz Tudzież3 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Dan Bewley · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2*
- Troy Batchelor · RYB1
- Dan Bewley · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Dan Bewley · RYB1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2*
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Dan Bewley · RYB1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB3
- Linus Sundstroem · RYB2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 31 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SE
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| LOD | RYB | LOD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.