OST vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 7, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev1 1 2 15+2
- 10Sam Masters0 2 3 3 19
- 11Nicolai Klindt2 0 2 2 06+1
- 12Tomasz Gapiński3 3 1 3 313+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 2 2 2 08+1
- 14Kamil Nowacki1 0 01+1
- 15Marcin Kościelski2 1 14+2
- 1Viktor Kulakov3 1 3 3 3 114+2
- 2Ernest Koza2 2 0 15+1
- 3Daniel Kaczmarek0 1 0 01
- 4Artur Mroczka1 3 1 05
- 5Peter Ljung3 3 3 2 2 215+1
- 6Mateusz Cierniak3 0 14
- 7Dawid Rempała0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1*
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 22 km/h W
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| OST | TAR | OST | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 12.6 | 14 | +1.4 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 5.3 | 1 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.