GDA vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 30, 2019 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Jacob Thorssell2 2 0 3 07+1
- 10Kim Nilsson3 0 2 16
- 11Mikkel Bech Laursen2 3 2 3 W10+1
- 12Kacper Gomolski3 2 0 2 29+2
- 13Krystian Pieszczek2 3 3 3 314
- 14Karol Żupiński1 0 01
- 15Denis Zieliński0 0 00
- 1Timo Lahti1 1 2 2 17
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 0 11+1
- 3Vadim TarasenkoD 1 3 2 17+1
- 4Pontus Aspgren1 2 1 W4
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 1 3 215
- 6Artjoms Trofimovs3 1 15+1
- 7Olegs Mihailovs2 1 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Kim Nilsson · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAUD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Kim Nilsson · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Kim Nilsson · GDA2
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Kim Nilsson · GDA1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU1
- Pontus Aspgren · DAUW
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 → 34 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 26 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | DAU | GDA | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 11.7 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 10.3 | 7 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.