DAU vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 23, 2019 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Timo Lahti3 3 1 2 09+1
- 10Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 2 2 15+1
- 11Vadim Tarasenko1 2 2 38+2
- 12Kasts Puodzuks2 3 1 17+2
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 3 3 315
- 14Artjoms Trofimovs3 1 1 05
- 15Olegs Mihailovs2 1 0 36+1
- 1Oleksandr Loktayev1 0 D 2 03+1
- 2Sam Masters2 1 0 1 2 17+2
- 3Nicolai Klindt3 2 0 0 3 19+1
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 1 3 3 0 211
- 6Kamil Nowacki0 00
- 7Marcin Kościelski1 0 0 2 25
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2*
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OSTD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1*
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 21 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAU | OST | DAU | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.