OST vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 15, 2019 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Oleksandr Loktayev3 1 1 1 1 07+2
- 10Sam Masters0 1 2 2 3 19
- 12Nicolai Klindt3 2 1 2 3 011
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 3 3 3 2 115+1
- 14Kamil Nowacki3 0 14+1
- 15Marcin Kościelski2 1 03+1
- 1Jacob Thorssell1 3 1 3 210+3
- 2Mikkel Bech Laursen2 D 2 15
- 3Kim Nilsson0 2 02
- 4Kacper Gomolski2 1 3 0 0 28+2
- 5Krystian Pieszczek2 3 2 2 3 315
- 6Denis Zieliński0 0 00
- 7Karol Żupiński1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Kamil Nowacki · OST3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA1
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Kim Nilsson · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDAD
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Kim Nilsson · GDA2
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA1*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA3
- Sam Masters · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Kim Nilsson · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Sam Masters · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1*
- Denis Zieliński · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Kacper Gomolski · GDA2*
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST0
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · GDA2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 34 → 31 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h S
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| OST | GDA | OST | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 6 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 11.4 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Sam Masters | 6 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 6 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 3 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.