TAR vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, March 31, 2019 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Peter Ljung2 3 2 3 212+1
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek1 1 3 0 38+1
- 11Artur Czaja1 1 1 14+2
- 12Viktor Kulakov3 2 2 2 09+1
- 13Artur Mroczka2 1 2 3 19
- 14Dawid Rempała1 0 01
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 0 03
- 1Timo Lahti3 3 3 3 315
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs0 0 11
- 3Vadim Tarasenko2 3 D 2 29
- 4Kasts Puodzuks0 2 1 D3+1
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 3 1 110
- 6Artjoms TrofimovsT 0 22+1
- 7Olegs Mihailovs2 1 0 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Dawid Rempała · TAR1
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAUD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2
- Artur Czaja · TAR1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU2*
- Artur Czaja · TAR1
- Dawid Rempała · TAR0
- Peter Ljung · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAUD
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Peter Ljung · TAR2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · DAU1
- Viktor Kulakov · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 31 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TAR | DAU | TAR | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 10.5 | 15 | +4.5 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Artur Czaja | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.