LOD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, March 30, 2019 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Hans Andersen2 1 D 36+1
- 10Rohan Tungate1 2 3 2 210
- 11Rafał Okoniewski2 3 1 3 110+2
- 12Kai Huckenbeck3 0 2 2 07+1
- 13Tobiasz Musielak2 3 3 1 312+1
- 14Piotr Pióro0 1 01
- 15Kamil Marciniec1 0 01
- 1Oleksandr LoktayevU 2 1 2 16+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński3 1 2 3 211+1
- 3Nicolai Klindt1 2 2 0 38
- 4Sam Masters0 0 1 01
- 5Grzegorz Walasek3 3 3 1 W10
- 6Kamil Nowacki3 0 14+1
- 7Marcin Kościelski2 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OSTU
- Kamil Nowacki · OST3
- Marcin Kościelski · OST2*
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD2
- Marcin Kościelski · OST1
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1*
- Kamil Nowacki · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1*
- Kamil Marciniec · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2
- Sam Masters · OST1
- Hans Andersen · LODD
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1*
- Marcin Kościelski · OST0
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD1*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST0
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST2
- Kamil Nowacki · OST1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Sam Masters · OST0
- Nicolai Klindt · OST3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · OST1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Rafał Okoniewski · LOD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 4 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h E
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | OST | LOD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.5 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Marcin Kościelski | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.