DAU vs GDA

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 17, 2018 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils

Results

DAU 48 : 42 GDA

DAU

9Kasts Puodzuks3 U 0 2 05
10Vadim Tarasenko0 2 2 3 29
11Timo Lahti3 3 2 2 010
12Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 0 12+1
13Peter Ljung3 3 3 2 314+1
14Artjoms Trofimovs0 1 12+1
15Olegs Mihailovs2 1 2 16+2

GDA

1Mikkel Bech Laursen2 2 1 3 311
2Michał Szczepaniak1 1 0 13+2
3Marcin Turowski00
4Anders Thomsen2 2 1 3 1 110+1
5Oskar Fajfer2 3 3 3 0 213
6Dominik Kossakowski3 0 1 04
7Karol Żupiński1 0 0 01

Heat by heat

Heat 167.37 s3:3

Heat 268.37 s2:4

Heat 367.66 s4:2

Heat 468.28 s4:2

Heat 568.20 s3:3

Heat 668.47 s4:2

Heat 769.14 s2:4

Heat 85:1

Heat 968.18 s2:4

Heat 1069.15 s3:3

Heat 1168.61 s5:1

Heat 1269.53 s3:3

Heat 1369.15 s3:3

Heat 1468.84 s2:4

Heat 1569.41 s3:3

Peter Ljung · DAU3
Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
Anders Thomsen · GDA1*
Timo Lahti · DAU0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 22 → 23 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 5 km/h E; gusts up to 15 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 48 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	DAU	GDA	DAU	GDA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead DAU

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-2	54 %
3	0	64 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+4	82 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+4	84 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+8	98 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Oskar Fajfer	6	8.5	13	+4.5
Peter Ljung	5	10.3	14	+3.7
Mikkel Bech Laursen	5	9.4	11	+1.6
Vadim Tarasenko	5	7.5	9	+1.5
Olegs Mihailovs	4	5.1	6	+0.9
Timo Lahti	5	9.4	10	+0.6
Dominik Kossakowski	4	3.9	4	+0.1
Marcin Turowski	1	0.6	0	-0.6
Artjoms Trofimovs	3	2.7	2	-0.7
Jevgenijs Kostigovs	3	2.8	2	-0.8
Michał Szczepaniak	4	4.2	3	-1.2
Kasts Puodzuks	5	6.7	5	-1.7
Anders Thomsen	6	13.8	10	-3.8
Karol Żupiński	4	4.9	1	-3.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 69.5367.37 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 35.3:32.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −0.77 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source