LOD vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, July 30, 2018 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 2 3 3 314
- 10Maciej Kuromonow0 00
- 11Andrey Kudryashov3 2 2 3 010+1
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev0 1 3 0 26+2
- 13Norbert Kościuch2 3 3 1 312+1
- 14Mateusz Błażykowski0 0 U0
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 0 0 38
- 1Timo Lahti2 3 2 2 1 111+1
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs1 0 12+2
- 3Kasts Puodzuks2 2 1 05+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 1 2 15+3
- 5Peter Ljung1 3 0 2 0 28
- 6Olegs Mihailovs3 1 2 17
- 7Artjoms Trofimovs1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Peter Ljung · DAU1
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1*
- Maciej Kuromonow · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD2*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Peter Ljung · DAU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LODU
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Peter Ljung · DAU0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1*
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 23 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LOD | DAU | LOD | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 4.8 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.4 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Maciej Kuromonow | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 6 | 13.9 | 8 | -5.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.