GDA vs GNI
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 10, 2018 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Michał Szczepaniak0 3 1 0 04+1
- 10Oskar Fajfer1 2 2 3 210+2
- 11Mikkel Bech Laursen2 2 1 3 311+2
- 12Anders Thomsen3 3 2 2 313
- 13Mikkel MichelsenU0
- 14Karol Żupiński0 2 3 0 05
- 15Dominik Kossakowski1 2 0 03
- 1Marcin Nowak3 1 1 1 28+2
- 2Jurica Pavlic2 0 2 1 16+3
- 3Mirosław Jabłoński0 1 0 23
- 4Kim Nilsson1 3 3 1 19
- 5Adrian Gała3 1 3 3 W10
- 6Norbert Krakowiak3 D 25
- 7Maksymilian Bogdanowicz2 1 W3+1
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · GNI3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI3
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI2*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI1
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Karol Żupiński · GDA2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNID
- Karol Żupiński · GDA3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Kim Nilsson · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1*
- Karol Żupiński · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Kim Nilsson · GNI1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GDA | GNI | GDA | GNI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Karol Żupiński | 5 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 1 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.