PIL vs LUB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 27, 2018 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Tomasz Gapiński3 1 1 2 1 311+2
- 10Adrian CyferD 2 0 13
- 11Rafał Okoniewski2 3 2 3 2 113+1
- 12Pavel Laguta3 2 0 05+1
- 13Tomas H Jonasson1 W 2 25
- 14Piotr Gryszpiński1 12
- 15Patryk Fajfer2 0 0 02
- 1Dawid Lampart2 1 1 3 07
- 2Sam Masters1 0 3 26
- 3Daniel Jeleniewski0 3 3 06
- 4Robert Lambert1 2 2 1 39+2
- 5Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 3 213+1
- 6Wiktor LampartD 0 11
- 7Oskar Bober3 3 1 07
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Sam Masters · LUB1
- Adrian Cyfer · PILD
- Oskar Bober · LUB3
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUBD
- Pavel Laguta · PIL3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2*
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB0
- Oskar Bober · LUB3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Pavel Laguta · PIL2*
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Sam Masters · LUB0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL1
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Sam Masters · LUB3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Dawid Lampart · LUB1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · LUB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Oskar Bober · LUB1
- Pavel Laguta · PIL0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Sam Masters · LUB2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB0
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Pavel Laguta · PIL0
- Robert Lambert · LUB3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1*
- Oskar Bober · LUB0
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| PIL | LUB | PIL | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Oskar Bober | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 6 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Pavel Laguta | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Dawid Lampart | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.