GNI vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 27, 2018 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak2 2 1 05+2
- 10Jurica Pavlic3 1 2 2 08+1
- 11Adrian Gała1 3 2 U 39+2
- 12Eduard Krcmar2 1 3 1 18
- 13Mirosław Jabłoński2 2 3 1 19+1
- 14Maksymilian Bogdanowicz3 1 15
- 15Norbert Krakowiak2 W 02+1
- 1Mikkel Bech Laursen1 0 2 3 06
- 2Michał Szczepaniak0 2 1 0 25+1
- 3Oskar Fajfer0 T 00
- 4Anders Thomsen3 D 3 2 210+2
- 5Mikkel Michelsen3 3 1 3 3 316
- 6Dominik Kossakowski0 3 0 25+1
- 7Marcin Turowski1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI2*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI2
- Adrian Gała · GNI1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI1
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI2
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI1
- Anders Thomsen · GDAD
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · GNI2
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · GNI0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Marcin Nowak · GNI1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI2
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2*
- Maksymilian Bogdanowicz · GNI1
- Adrian Gała · GNIU
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI1
- Marcin Nowak · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2
- Eduard Krcmar · GNI1
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Anders Thomsen · GDA2*
- Mirosław Jabłoński · GNI1
- Jurica Pavlic · GNI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h E
- gusts up to 25 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GNI | GDA | GNI | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 12.2 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Mirosław Jabłoński | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Eduard Krcmar | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Maksymilian Bogdanowicz | 3 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 10.7 | 6 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.