GDA vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 20, 2018 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Mikkel Bech Laursen3 2 3 2 111+1
- 10Michał Szczepaniak0 3 2 3 W8+1
- 11Patrick Hougaard1 2 3 T6
- 12Oskar Fajfer3 0 2 1 28+2
- 13Mikkel Michelsen2 1 2 2 07+1
- 14Dominik Kossakowski2 0 13
- 15Marcin Turowski1 0 0 01+1
- 1Timo Lahti1 3 1 3 210+2
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs2 1 3 06
- 3Vadim Tarasenko2 3 D 1 39
- 4Kasts Puodzuks0 2 1 03+1
- 5Peter Ljung3 W W 3 39
- 6Olegs Mihailovs3 1 2 17+1
- 7Artjoms Trofimovs0 1 12
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA1
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAUD
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h NE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GDA | DAU | GDA | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Szczepaniak | 5 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 3 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 10.3 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Marcin Turowski | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 10.3 | 7 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.