RYB vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 6, 2018 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Andriy Karpov2 1 1 3 18+3
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak1 2 2 05+1
- 11Troy Batchelor3 2 3 2 212
- 12Craig Cook2 1 2 1 28+3
- 13Kacper Woryna3 2 2 2 09
- 14Robert Chmiel2 0 13+2
- 15Lars Skupien3 2 05+1
- 1Mikkel Bech Laursen3 3 1 1 3 112
- 2Michał Szczepaniak0 0 00
- 3Oskar Fajfer1 1 0 35
- 4Anders Thomsen0 3 3 3 W9
- 5Mikkel Michelsen1 3 3 D 2 312
- 6Dominik Kossakowski0 0 0 00
- 7Marcin Turowski1 12
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Andriy Karpov · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Lars Skupien · RYB3
- Robert Chmiel · RYB2*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Craig Cook · RYB2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Anders Thomsen · GDA0
- Kacper Woryna · RYB3
- Lars Skupien · RYB2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Craig Cook · RYB1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Robert Chmiel · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2
- Andriy Karpov · RYB1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Lars Skupien · RYB0
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2
- Andriy Karpov · RYB1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Troy Batchelor · RYB3
- Craig Cook · RYB2*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDAD
- Anders Thomsen · GDA3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Robert Chmiel · RYB1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Andriy Karpov · RYB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Craig Cook · RYB1
- Anders Thomsen · GDAW
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Craig Cook · RYB2
- Andriy Karpov · RYB1*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Troy Batchelor · RYB2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 20 → 21 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NE
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | GDA | RYB | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Cook | 5 | 4.9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 6 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Lars Skupien | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Andriy Karpov | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Marcin Turowski | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Robert Chmiel | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.