PIL vs DAU
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 22, 2018 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Tomasz Gapiński1 2 0 2 27+1
- 10Pontus Aspgren2 0 13
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 3 2 3 2 316
- 12Erik Riss0 0 00
- 13Tomas H Jonasson2 2 2 2 1 09+4
- 14Piotr GryszpińskiW 0 00
- 15Patryk Fajfer1 3 3 07
- 1Timo Lahti0 2 1 3 39
- 2Jevgenijs Kostigovs3 1 D 04+1
- 3Kasts Puodzuks2 1 3 1 07
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 3 2 1 18+3
- 5Peter Ljung0 3 3 3 211
- 6Olegs Mihailovs3 1 15
- 7Artjoms Trofimovs2 1 14+1
Heat by heat
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1*
- Timo Lahti · DAU0
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU3
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU2*
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL1
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Erik Riss · PIL0
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2*
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Peter Ljung · DAU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Timo Lahti · DAU2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1*
- Erik Riss · PIL0
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL0
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2*
- Timo Lahti · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAUD
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU2*
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL1
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Artjoms Trofimovs · DAU1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU1
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · PIL0
- Peter Ljung · DAU3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1
- Erik Riss · PIL0
- Timo Lahti · DAU3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL1*
- Kasts Puodzuks · DAU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Peter Ljung · DAU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · DAU1*
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 25 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIL | DAU | PIL | DAU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Okoniewski | 6 | 11.4 | 16 | +4.6 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 4 | 3.6 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Artjoms Trofimovs | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 4 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Kasts Puodzuks | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Erik Riss | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.