GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 29, 2018 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Mikkel Bech Laursen0 1 2 3 28+1
- 10Michał Szczepaniak1 3 1 05+1
- 11Patrick Hougaard0 0 3 2 38
- 12Oskar Fajfer3 2 1 2 19+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 2 3 2 313
- 14Dominik Kossakowski3 1 15+2
- 15Marcin Turowski1 1 02
- 1Hans Andersen2 1 1 3 29+2
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 2 3 011
- 3Robert Miśkowiak2 0 0 13
- 4Maksims Bogdanovs1 3 37+1
- 5Norbert Kościuch2 2 2 1 18
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak2 0 02
- 7Mateusz Błażykowski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD2
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD1*
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1*
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Robert Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA2
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Hans Andersen · LOD
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 22 km/h NE
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 3 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 4 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Robert Miśkowiak | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.