GDA vs LUB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 21, 2018 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Oskar Fajfer2 1 0 03+1
- 10Patrick Hougaard3 D 1 3 18
- 11Michał Szczepaniak0 U 2 13+1
- 12Mikkel Bech Laursen2 3 3 1 312
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 2 111+2
- 14Marcin Turowski1 0 01
- 15Dominik Kossakowski2 0 3 05
- 1Robert Lambert0 1 01
- 2Sam Masters1 2 1 04
- 3Daniel Jeleniewski1 1 1 25+2
- 4Dawid Lampart3 2 2 2 09+2
- 5Andreas Jonsson2 2 W 2 3 211+2
- 6Wiktor LampartW 3 3 3 312
- 7Oskar Bober3 1 15+1
Heat by heat
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2*
- Sam Masters · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Oskar Bober · LUB3
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA2
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Oskar Bober · LUB1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Sam Masters · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · LUB1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDAU
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB1*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Patrick Hougaard · GDAD
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2*
- Sam Masters · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2*
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA2*
- Oskar Bober · LUB1
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB1
- Sam Masters · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2*
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1
- Marcin Turowski · GDA0
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB3
- Dawid Lampart · LUB2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LUB2*
- Patrick Hougaard · GDA1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Andreas Jonsson · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA1
- Dawid Lampart · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 32 km/h W
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GDA | LUB | GDA | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 6.8 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Oskar Bober | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Dawid Lampart | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 13.2 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 3 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.