PIL vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 14, 2018 · ASTA ARENA, Piła
Results
- 9Tomas H Jonasson3 3 2 2 313+1
- 10Adrian Cyfer2 1 3 1 D7+1
- 11Tomasz Gapiński0 1 1 24+1
- 12Pontus Aspgren2 3 2 1 19+1
- 13Rafał Okoniewski3 3 2 3 112
- 14Paweł StaniszewskiW D 00
- 15Patryk Fajfer1 2 03+1
- 1Oskar FajferW 2 1 2 1 39
- 2Anders Thomsen11
- 3Michał Szczepaniak3 1 U 04
- 4Mikkel Bech Laursen1 2 1 3 2 211+1
- 5Mikkel MichelsenW 2 3 3 0 08
- 6Dominik Kossakowski3 0 0 0 36
- 7Marcin Turowski2 13+1
Heat by heat
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL2*
- Anders Thomsen · GDA1
- Oskar Fajfer · GDAW
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Marcin Turowski · GDA2*
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL2
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL2*
- Marcin Turowski · GDA1
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PILD
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Patryk Fajfer · PIL0
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2*
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDAU
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA3
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL1*
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA0
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL3
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA2
- Adrian Cyfer · PIL1
- Michał Szczepaniak · GDA0
- Dominik Kossakowski · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · PIL2
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA1
- Paweł Staniszewski · PIL0
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA3
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL2
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA0
- Oskar Fajfer · GDA3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2*
- Pontus Aspgren · PIL1
- Adrian Cyfer · PILD
- Tomas H Jonasson · PIL3
- Mikkel Bech Laursen · GDA2
- Rafał Okoniewski · PIL1
- Mikkel Michelsen · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| PIL | GDA | PIL | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 7.2 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Mikkel Bech Laursen | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Marcin Turowski | 2 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Dominik Kossakowski | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Patryk Fajfer | 3 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 1 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Paweł Staniszewski | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 12.0 | 8 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.